As Tripoli burns, the West shrugs – and rivals quietly move in
Temmuz 11, 2025 - 20:34
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Libya has remained divided since 2011, and its people have grown accustomed to living under the threat of renewed conflict
In recent months, tensions have escalated in Tripoli, the capital of Libya, as political factions and armed groups clashed after a relatively long period of calm.
The bloody clashes on the streets of Tripoli clearly show that the country, which has been engulfed in power struggles and turmoil for over decade, is a long way off from achieving unity, stability, and the rule of law despite the UN’s efforts to facilitate elections, draft a constitution, and reorganize state structures.
Chaos broke out on the night of May 13, when fighting erupted between various factions linked to the government of western Libya. The conflict was triggered by the assassination of the leader of the Stability Support Apparatus (SSA), Abdelghani al-Kikli, known as “Ghneiwa.”
In the capital, al-Kikli established an extensive business network spanning commerce, logistics, and retail, and recently sought to extend his influence into the strategically vital oil sector. His group is based in Tripoli’s Abu Salim neighborhood, which came under the control of forces linked to the GNU’s Ministry of Defense after heavy fighting on May 13. The operation utilized heavy armored vehicles, and Prime Minister Dbeibah hailed it as “a significant achievement in ensuring security and restoring state authority in the capital,” emphasizing the commitment to unify security forces under one command.
“We will spare no one who continues to engage in corruption or extortion. Our goal is to create a Libya free from militias and corruption,” he said during a televised address.
The repartition of Tripoli
The clashes that followed al-Kikli’s assassination lasted two days, engulfing residential areas in Tripoli. According to the UN, these confrontations were some of the fiercest Tripoli had seen in recent years. Fighting erupted between the 444th Brigade, led by Mahmoud Hamza, who also heads the GNU military intelligence, and the SSA. Another major armed group, the Deterrence Anti-Organized Crime and Terrorism Apparatus (RADA), led by Abdelraouf Kara, intervened after the 444th Brigade attacked areas under its control.
Shortly thereafter, mass protests erupted in the capital, calling for Dbeibah’s resignation. At the same time, demonstrations in Misrata – Dbeibah’s hometown – expressed support for him. To suppress the protests in Tripoli, armed groups were deployed and fired live ammunition. As a result, there were civilian casualties. Several GNU ministers resigned in solidarity with the demonstrators.
In the midst of the Eid al-Adha celebrations, clashes reignited in Tripoli between rival factions, though they were quickly quelled by the efforts of the Reconciliation Committee. Simultaneously, fighting erupted in the city of Sabratha in western Libya. While currently the situation in the capital is relatively calm, the threat of renewed violence remains high.
Despite the assassination of its leader, the Stability Support Apparatus (SSA) continues to operate. Dbeibah lacks the authority to disband or restructure the SSA, which was established by a decree of the Presidential Council in 2021. Nevertheless, forces loyal to Dbeibah have seized control of several SSA facilities, including the group’s base in Abu Salim. Subsequent video reports revealed ten charred bodies on the premises, while an additional 67 unidentified bodies were discovered in hospital morgues in the vicinity. Reports also surfaced about a burial site at the Tripoli zoo, which had been under SSA control. In light of this, the UN expressed serious concerns regarding security in Tripoli.
Dbeibah has also failed to dissolve RADA, another group formed by the Presidential Council’s decree. The head of the council, Mohammed Menfi, issued an order freezing any decisions made by the prime minister regarding the restructuring of security forces or appointments to military or law enforcement positions.
By early June, the politicians reached an agreement, establishing a temporary security and military arrangements committee for Tripoli, headed by Menfi. This committee includes representatives from the Ministry of Interior, the Ministry of Defense, RADA, and the Western Coast Military Zone.
This situation is the result of a protracted crisis that began in 2011 when opposition forces, with direct support from an international coalition primarily comprised of NATO countries, overthrew and killed Libya’s longtime leader Muammar Gaddafi, who had ruled the country since 1979.
This sparked a protracted war between various factions. In May 2014, then-Major General Khalifa Haftar launched Operation Dignity from Benghazi, targeting Islamist groups, including cells of the Islamic State.
Haftar took control over Tripoli, where elections for the House of Representatives (HoR) took place. However, by August 2014, Haftar’s forces were repelled from the capital, leading to the final bifurcation of power into two parallel structures: the House of Representatives, which relocated to Tobruk in the east, and the General National Congress (GNC), later replaced by the current High Council of State (HCS), established by Islamist groups. Each region established its own cabinet of ministers.
In 2015, negotiations were held in Skhirat, Morocco, under the auspices of the UN; as a result, the parties agreed to sign a ceasefire agreement and establish a Government of National Unity (GNU). However, implementing the Skhirat Agreement proved challenging. Not all parties recognized its legitimacy and soon the hostilities in Libya reignited. Between 2019 and 2020, Khalifa Haftar, backed by Russia, Egypt, the UAE, and several other nations, launched another campaign to seize Tripoli, which also ended in failure.
It was not until October 2020 that a permanent ceasefire was agreed upon in Geneva, again facilitated by the UN. Then, on February 5, 2021, during the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum, representatives reached a consensus to create a temporary Government of National Unity, appointing Dbeibah as its head. At that time, Muhammad Menfi was also chosen to lead the Presidential Council established by the 2015 Skhirat Agreement.
The new authorities were tasked with preparing the country for presidential and parliamentary elections within a year. However, the elections scheduled for December 24, 2021, were postponed indefinitely due to the inability of the House of Representatives in Tobruk and the High Council of State to agree on a legal framework for national voting. Since then, no electoral campaigns have been initiated, despite numerous dialogues between various factions from the east and west of the country.
In September 2021, the House of Representatives in Tobruk expressed a vote of no confidence in Dbeibeh’s cabinet, whose mandate had expired after the canceled elections. However, Dbeibeh showed no intention of leaving his post and declared that he would step down only after national elections were held. Subsequently, the Parliament appointed a new government in eastern Libya led by Fathi Bashagha, who unsuccessfully attempted to relocate his cabinet to Tripoli in 2022. Clashes erupted between the supporters of the GNU and those of Bashagha, forcing the latter to back down.
“The army will have the final say at the critical moment”
This division extends beyond the executive and legislative branches; it has also affected the National Oil Corporation (NOC), which remained split between the east and west for years; it reunited only after the establishment of the GNU. Talks held in 2021 in Geneva also resolved the division of the Central Bank. However, key institutions such as the Libyan Audit Bureau and the Administrative Control Authority remain divided, and have offices both in Tripoli and Benghazi.
For over a decade, various factions in both eastern and western Libya have pursued their own agendas, relying heavily on external support. The country has effectively split into two political entities – a military-oriented regime in the east and constantly warring armed groups and tribal factions in the west.
In 2014, General Haftar, a former officer in Gaddafi’s army, launched a campaign to rebuild the military under the banner of the Libyan National Army. With backing from the House of Representatives, he was officially appointed commander-in-chief in 2015 and was soon elevated to the rank of marshal by Speaker Aguila Saleh. What began as a force of just over 300 fighters has now grown to more than 120,000 soldiers and officers. A parade in Benghazi on May 26, 2025, demonstrated not only the army’s personnel, but also its impressive arsenal of advanced weaponry.
Haftar also maintains influence over the so-called “oil crescent” along the northeastern coast, home to key oil export terminals like Ras Lanuf, Es Sider, Brega, and Zueitina. It is likely that his forces control several important oil fields in southern Libya, which bolsters his economic and strategic influence. His dominance over most oil-rich regions is supported by a network of ground and air military bases scattered throughout eastern, central, and southern Libya. The most notable of these is the Al Jufra Airbase in central Libya, approximately 600 kilometers southeast of Tripoli, which was used as a launching pad for air operations during the war in Tripoli in 2019.
Although Usama Hamada’s government is not recognized internationally, it operates under Haftar’s protection and aims to strengthen ties with cities in the east and south through projects initiated by the Libya Development and Reconstruction Fund headed by Haftar’s son, Belgasem. As for the House of Representatives, despite the expiration of what the UN considers its “legitimate” term, it continues to enact laws and collaborates with the High Council of State in Tripoli on laying the groundwork for future elections.
In Tripoli, the Presidential Council, led by Menfi, heads the executive branch following the 2020 Geneva Agreement. But although it is recognized by the international community, it lacks real power in Libya. While, symbolically, the Presidential Council is the supreme commander of the Libyan army, it has no actual control over it. In western Libya, it competes for authority with the Government of National Unity (GNU), which assumes executive and security functions.
Dbeibah remains the key decision-maker regarding budgetary allocations across all sectors and institutions in Libya, even as the House of Representatives and the Central Bank demand to put an end to all funding except for salaries. Dbeibah remains the Minister of Defense but lacks a unified regular army and primarily relies on loyal armed groups, along with support from Türkiye which supplies him with Bayraktar TB2 drones and establishes military bases and training centers based on agreements made with the previous government.
Libyans, especially those living in the country’s western regions, have grown accustomed to living under the threat of renewed conflict and armed clashes, a reality starkly illustrated by recent events in Tripoli. Despite appearances of stability, the country has remained deeply divided since 2011.
International efforts to resolve the situation in Libya have consistently failed, leading to a growing dissatisfaction with the existing UN structures among the populace. The prolonged absence of consensus suggests that many may be content with the status quo, and are unwilling to change anything. Even if the opposing factions view the current divide as a form of “consensus,” the strong, influential Libya that existed under Muammar Gaddafi is long gone, and there are no immediate prospects for improvement.
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